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Curve Fitting Details
---------------------
Calc's internal least-squares fitter can only handle multilinear
models. More precisely, it can handle any model of the form `a
f(x,y,z) + b g(x,y,z) + c h(x,y,z)', where `a,b,c' are the parameters
and `x,y,z' are the independent variables (of course there can be any
number of each, not just three).
In a simple multilinear or polynomial fit, it is easy to see how to
convert the model into this form. For example, if the model is `a + b
x + c x^2', then `f(x) = 1', `g(x) = x', and `h(x) = x^2' are suitable
functions.
For other models, Calc uses a variety of algebraic manipulations to
try to put the problem into the form
Y(x,y,z) = A(a,b,c) F(x,y,z) + B(a,b,c) G(x,y,z) + C(a,b,c) H(x,y,z)
where `Y,A,B,C,F,G,H' are arbitrary functions. It computes `Y', `F',
`G', and `H' for all the data points, does a standard linear fit to
find the values of `A', `B', and `C', then uses the equation solver to
solve for `a,b,c' in terms of `A,B,C'.
A remarkable number of models can be cast into this general form.
We'll look at two examples here to see how it works. The power-law
model `y = a x^b' with two independent variables and two parameters
can be rewritten as follows:
y = a x^b
y = a exp(b ln(x))
y = exp(ln(a) + b ln(x))
ln(y) = ln(a) + b ln(x)
which matches the desired form with `Y = ln(y)', `A = ln(a)', `F = 1',
`B = b', and `G = ln(x)'. Calc thus computes the logarithms of your
`y' and `x' values, does a linear fit for `A' and `B', then solves to
get `a = exp(A)' and `b = B'.
Another interesting example is the "quadratic" model, which can be
handled by expanding according to the distributive law.
y = a + b*(x - c)^2
y = a + b c^2 - 2 b c x + b x^2
which matches with `Y = y', `A = a + b c^2', `F = 1', `B = -2 b c', `G
= x' (the -2 factor could just as easily have been put into `G'
instead of `B'), `C = b', and `H = x^2'.
The Gaussian model looks quite complicated, but a closer examination
shows that it's actually similar to the quadratic model but with an
exponential that can be brought to the top and moved into `Y'.
An example of a model that cannot be put into general linear form is a
Gaussian with a constant background added on, i.e., `d' + the regular
Gaussian formula. If you have a model like this, your best bet is to
replace enough of your parameters with constants to make the model
linearizable, then adjust the constants manually by doing a series of
fits. You can compare the fits by graphing them, by examining the
goodness-of-fit measures returned by `I a F', or by some other method
suitable to your application. Note that some models can be linearized
in several ways. The Gaussian-plus-d model can be linearized by
setting `d' (the background) to a constant, or by setting `b' (the
standard deviation) and `c' (the mean) to constants.
To fit a model with constants substituted for some parameters, just
store suitable values in those parameter variables, then omit them
from the list of parameters when you answer the variables prompt.
A last desperate step would be to use the general-purpose `minimize'
function rather than `fit'. After all, both functions solve the
problem of minimizing an expression (the `chi^2' sum) by adjusting
certain parameters in the expression. The `a F' command is able to
use a vastly more efficient algorithm due to its special knowledge
about linear chi-square sums, but the `a N' command can do the same
thing by brute force.
A compromise would be to pick out a few parameters without which the
fit is linearizable, and use `minimize' on a call to `fit' which
efficiently takes care of the rest of the parameters. The thing to be
minimized would be the value of `chi^2' returned as the fifth result
of the `xfit' function:
minimize(xfit(gaus(a,b,c,d,x), x, [a,b,c], data)_5, d, guess)
where `gaus' represents the Gaussian model with background, `data'
represents the data matrix, and `guess' represents the initial guess
for `d' that `minimize' requires. This operation will only be, shall
we say, extraordinarily slow rather than astronomically slow (as would
be the case if `minimize' were used by itself to solve the problem).
The `I a F' [`xfit'] command is somewhat trickier when nonlinear
models are used. The second item in the result is the vector of "raw"
parameters `A', `B', `C'. The covariance matrix is written in terms
of those raw parameters. The fifth item is a vector of "filter"
expressions. This is the empty vector `[]' if the raw parameters were
the same as the requested parameters, i.e., if `A = a', `B = b', and
so on (which is always true if the model is already linear in the
parameters as written, e.g., for polynomial fits). If the parameters
had to be rearranged, the fifth item is instead a vector of one
formula per parameter in the original model. The raw parameters are
expressed in these "filter" formulas as `fitdummy(1)' for `A',
`fitdummy(2)' for `B', and so on.
When Calc needs to modify the model to return the result, it replaces
`fitdummy(1)' in all the filters with the first item in the raw
parameters list, and so on for the other raw parameters, then
evaluates the resulting filter formulas to get the actual parameter
values to be substituted into the original model. In the case of `H a
F' and `I a F' where the parameters must be error forms, Calc uses the
square roots of the diagonal entries of the covariance matrix as error
values for the raw parameters, then lets Calc's standard error-form
arithmetic take it from there.
If you use `I a F' with a nonlinear model, be sure to remember
that the covariance matrix is in terms of the raw parameters,
*not* the actual requested parameters. It's up to you to
figure out how to interpret the covariances in the presence of
nontrivial filter functions.
Things are also complicated when the input contains error forms.
Suppose there are three independent and dependent variables, `x', `y',
and `z', one or more of which are error forms in the data. Calc
combines all the error values by taking the square root of the sum of
the squares of the errors. It then changes `x' and `y' to be plain
numbers, and makes `z' into an error form with this combined error.
The `Y(x,y,z)' part of the linearized model is evaluated, and the
result should be an error form. The error part of that result is used
for `sigma_i' for the data point. If for some reason `Y(x,y,z)' does
not return an error form, the combined error from `z' is used directly
for `sigma_i'. Finally, `z' is also stripped of its error for use in
computing `F(x,y,z)', `G(x,y,z)' and so on; the righthand side of the
linearized model is computed in regular arithmetic with no error
forms.
(While these rules may seem complicated, they are designed to do the
most reasonable thing in the typical case that `Y(x,y,z)' depends only
on the dependent variable `z', and in fact is often simply equal to
`z'. For common cases like polynomials and multilinear models, the
combined error is simply used as the `sigma' for the data point with
no further ado.)
It may be the case that the model you wish to use is linearizable,
but Calc's built-in rules are unable to figure it out. Calc uses
its algebraic rewrite mechanism to linearize a model. The rewrite
rules are kept in the variable `FitRules'. You can edit this
variable using the `s e FitRules' command; in fact, there is
a special `s F' command just for editing `FitRules'.
See Operations on Variables.
See Rewrite Rules, for a discussion of rewrite rules.
Calc uses `FitRules' as follows. First, it converts the model to an
equation if necessary and encloses the model equation in a call to the
function `fitmodel' (which is not actually a defined function in Calc;
it is only used as a placeholder by the rewrite rules). Parameter
variables are renamed to function calls `fitparam(1)', `fitparam(2)',
and so on, and independent variables are renamed to `fitvar(1)',
`fitvar(2)', etc. The dependent variable is the highest-numbered
`fitvar'. For example, the power law model `a x^b' is converted to `y
= a x^b', then to
fitmodel(fitvar(2) = fitparam(1) fitvar(1)^fitparam(2))
Calc then applies the rewrites as if by `C-u 0 a r FitRules'. (The
zero prefix means that rewriting should continue until no further
changes are possible.)
When rewriting is complete, the `fitmodel' call should have been
replaced by a `fitsystem' call that looks like this:
fitsystem(Y, FGH, ABC)
where Y is a formula that describes the function `Y(x,y,z)', FGH is
the vector of formulas `[F(x,y,z), G(x,y,z), H(x,y,z)]', and ABC is
the vector of parameter filters which refer to the raw parameters as
`fitdummy(1)' for `A', `fitdummy(2)' for `B', etc. While the number
of raw parameters (the length of the FGH vector) is usually the same
as the number of original parameters (the length of the ABC vector),
this is not required.
The power law model eventually boils down to
fitsystem(ln(fitvar(2)),
[1, ln(fitvar(1))],
[exp(fitdummy(1)), fitdummy(2)])
The actual implementation of `FitRules' is complicated; it proceeds in
four phases. First, common rearrangements are done to try to bring
linear terms together and to isolate functions like `exp' and `ln'
either all the way "out" (so that they can be put into Y) or all the
way "in" (so that they can be put into ABC or FGH). In particular,
all non-constant powers are converted to logs-and-exponentials form,
and the distributive law is used to expand products of sums.
Quotients are rewritten to use the `fitinv' function, where
`fitinv(x)' represents `1/x' while the `FitRules' are operating. (The
use of `fitinv' makes recognition of linear-looking forms easier.) If
you modify `FitRules', you will probably only need to modify the rules
for this phase.
Phase two, whose rules can actually also apply during phases one and
three, first rewrites `fitmodel' to a two-argument form `fitmodel(Y,
MODEL)', where Y is initially zero and MODEL has been changed from
`a=b' to `a-b' form. It then tries to peel off invertible functions
from the outside of MODEL and put them into Y instead, calling the
equation solver to invert the functions. Finally, when this is no
longer possible, the `fitmodel' is changed to a four-argument
`fitsystem', where the fourth argument is MODEL and the FGH and ABC
vectors are initially empty. (The last vector is really ABC,
corresponding to raw parameters, for now.)
Phase three converts a sum of items in the MODEL to a sum of
`fitpart(A, B, C)' terms which represent terms `A*B*C' of the sum,
where A is all factors that do not involve any variables, B is all
factors that involve only parameters, and C is the factors that
involve only independent variables. (If this decomposition is not
possible, the rule set will not complete and Calc will complain that
the model is too complex.) Then `fitpart's with equal B or C
components are merged back together using the distributive law in
order to minimize the number of raw parameters needed.
Phase four moves the `fitpart' terms into the FGH and ABC vectors.
Also, some of the algebraic expansions that were done in phase 1 are
undone now to make the formulas more computationally efficient.
Finally, it calls the solver one more time to convert the ABC vector
to an ABC vector, and removes the fourth MODEL argument (which by now
will be zero) to obtain the three-argument `fitsystem' that the linear
least-squares solver wants to see.
Two functions which are useful in connection with `FitRules' are
`hasfitparams(x)' and `hasfitvars(x)', which check whether `x' refers
to any parameters or independent variables, respectively.
Specifically, these functions return "true" if the argument contains
any `fitparam' (or `fitvar') function calls, and "false" otherwise.
(Recall that "true" means a nonzero number, and "false" means zero.
The actual nonzero number returned is the largest N from all the
`fitparam(N)'s or `fitvar(N)'s, respectively, that appear in the
formula.)
The `fit' function in algebraic notation normally takes four
arguments, `fit(MODEL, VARS, PARAMS, DATA)', where MODEL is the model
formula as it would be typed after `a F '', VARS is the independent
variable or a vector of independent variables, PARAMS likewise gives
the parameter(s), and DATA is the data matrix. Note that the length
of VARS must be equal to the number of rows in DATA if MODEL is an
equation, or one less than the number of rows if MODEL is a plain
formula. (Actually, a name for the dependent variable is allowed but
will be ignored in the plain-formula case.)
If PARAMS is omitted, the parameters are all variables in MODEL except
those that appear in VARS. If VARS is also omitted, Calc sorts all
the variables that appear in MODEL alphabetically and uses the higher
ones for VARS and the lower ones for PARAMS.
Alternatively, `fit(MODELVEC, DATA)' is allowed where MODELVEC is a 2-
or 3-vector describing the model and variables, as discussed
previously.
If Calc is unable to do the fit, the `fit' function is left in
symbolic form, ordinarily with an explanatory message. The message
will be "Model expression is too complex" if the linearizer was unable
to put the model into the required form.
The `efit' (corresponding to `H a F') and `xfit' (for `I a F')
functions are completely analogous.